BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Nicholls St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 354 Conference: Southland Record: (2-16) Overall: (5-24) Overall Strength =   15.52

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-10-2022 Home    W    19.24  70  61   ZZ  46 (  0-  2) Mobile                  3.85      5.15                      
  2 11-13-2022 Home    W    27.41  60  55    1 302 ( 14- 14) Alabama A&M            12.01     -7.01                      
  3 11-15-2022 Away    L    10.92  40  69    1 189 ( 13- 16) Alabama-Birmingham     -4.48    -24.52                      
  4 11-18-2022 Home    L     0.93  41  79    1 140 ( 20-  9) Grand Canyon          -14.47    -23.53                      
  5 11-22-2022 Away    L    -2.73  49  64    1 362 (  2- 27) MS Valley St          -18.13      3.13                      
  6 11-25-2022 Away    L    24.33  68  83    1 175 ( 21- 10) Southern Miss           8.93    -23.93                      
  7 11-26-2022 Neutral W    19.71  84  74    1 362 (  2- 27) MS Valley St            4.31      5.69                      
  8 11-29-2022 Home    L    25.94  55  72    1 112 ( 20- 11) New Mexico             10.54 *  -27.54                      
  9 12-14-2022 Home    L    18.17  73  74    1 341 (  7- 23) South Alabama           2.77     -3.77                      
 10 12-19-2022 Away    L     0.43  36  76    1 155 ( 15- 14) Abilene Chr           -14.97    -25.03                      
 11 12-21-2022 Away    L     1.67  32  75    1 134 (  7- 22) TCU                   -13.72 *  -29.28                      
 12 12-31-2022 Home    L *  27.94  49  57    1 177 ( 19-  9) SE Louisiana           12.54    -20.54                      
 13 01-05-2023 Away    L *  -0.41  48  81    1 263 ( 12- 18) TX A&M Commerce       -15.81    -17.19                      
 14 01-07-2023 Away    L *  14.87  58  67    1 337 ( 11- 17) Northwestern LA        -0.53     -8.47                      
 15 01-12-2023 Away    W *  43.33  80  74 1  1 200 ( 18- 11) Lamar                  27.93    -21.93                      
 16 01-14-2023 Home    L *   6.75  64  76    1 337 ( 11- 17) Northwestern LA        -8.65     -3.35                      
 17 01-19-2023 Home    L *  12.31  68  77    1 313 ( 11- 18) McNeese St             -3.09     -5.91                      
 18 01-21-2023 Away    L *  18.43  62  70    1 313 ( 11- 18) McNeese St              3.03    -11.03                      
 19 01-26-2023 Away    L *   0.84  47  86    1 184 ( 19- 10) TAM C. Christi        -14.56    -24.44                      
 20 01-28-2023 Away    L *  22.92  62  70    1 280 ( 14- 13) Incarnate Word          7.52    -15.52                      
 21 02-04-2023 Away    L *  15.03  55  68    1 298 ( 11- 18) Houston Chr            -0.36    -12.64                      
 22 02-09-2023 Home    L *   6.63  68  83    1 311 (  8- 19) New Orleans            -8.77     -6.23                      
 23 02-11-2023 Away    L *   3.06  52  90    1 177 ( 19-  9) SE Louisiana          -12.34    -25.66                      
 24 02-16-2023 Home    L *  25.72  50  59    1 184 ( 19- 10) TAM C. Christi         10.32    -19.32                      
 25 02-18-2023 Home    L *  10.80  50  65    1 280 ( 14- 13) Incarnate Word         -4.60    -10.40                      
 26 02-20-2023 Home    L *  20.47  70  77    1 263 ( 12- 18) TX A&M Commerce         5.07    -12.07                      
 27 02-23-2023 Away    L *  11.75  73  88    1 311 (  8- 19) New Orleans            -3.65    -11.35                      
 28 02-25-2023 Home    W *  40.91  64  46    1 298 ( 11- 18) Houston Chr            25.51     -7.51                      
 29 03-01-2023 Home    L *  19.21  57  70    1 200 ( 18- 11) Lamar                   3.81    -16.81                      
      Averages              15.40  58.1 71.9

Best game:   43.33 = 6 point win over Lamar
Worst game:  -2.73 = 15 point loss to MS Valley St
Team stdev:  11.89